Who Will Win Ghana’s Presidential Election 2024? A Look at the Key Contenders and Election Dynamics

As Ghana heads into its highly anticipated 2024 presidential election, all eyes are on the race to determine who will lead the nation for the next four years. With a complex political landscape, several strong candidates, and significant issues facing the country, the election promises to be one of the most consequential in recent history.

The presidential election in Ghana is set to take place on December 7, 2024, and it will see two dominant political parties—the New Patriotic Party (NPP) and the National Democratic Congress (NDC)—battling for control of the presidency. While it is impossible to predict with certainty who will emerge victorious, the dynamics surrounding the election are already shaping the narrative. Let’s take a closer look at the leading contenders, the key issues at stake, and the factors that will influence the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.

Leading Contenders: NPP and NDC Head-to-Head

1. Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo (NPP) – Seeking a Legacy for the New Patriotic PartyCurrent President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo is ineligible to run for a third term due to Ghana’s two-term presidential limit. However, his leadership has set the stage for the NPP in the 2024 race. The ruling party has a significant base of support, and many voters will likely look to continue the policies set by the Akufo-Addo administration. Under his leadership, Ghana made strides in several key sectors, including infrastructure development, education, and the free Senior High School (SHS) program, which remains a popular initiative among the youth and parents.The NPP’s candidate in 2024 will likely benefit from the incumbent party’s position and its achievements over the last eight years. As of now, Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia, a seasoned economist and former Governor of the Bank of Ghana, has emerged as the leading candidate for the NPP. Known for his background in economic management, Bawumia is seen by many as a capable leader who can build on the current administration’s policies while addressing issues like job creation, economic stability, and youth employment.
2. John Dramani Mahama (NDC) – The Comeback KidJohn Dramani Mahama, former President of Ghana (2012-2016), is seeking a return to power under the National Democratic Congress (NDC) banner. Having previously served as the country’s leader, Mahama has remained a popular figure within the party and among his supporters. His first term as president was marked by some significant achievements, but it was also overshadowed by economic challenges, including high public debt and inflation, which led to his defeat in 2016.However, Mahama’s reputation as a leader committed to social development and infrastructure still resonates with many Ghanaians. His running mate for the 2024 election will likely be someone who can help him appeal to a broader electorate, focusing on regions and issues that will be pivotal to securing a win.Mahama’s platform centers around economic reforms, job creation, and the expansion of social services. He is also positioning himself as a candidate who will unite the country and bring about a more inclusive governance.

Key Issues That Will Shape the Election Outcome

Several critical issues are expected to dominate the presidential race, and voters will weigh these factors heavily when making their decision:

1. Economic Performance: Ghana’s economy has faced significant challenges in recent years, including inflation, high public debt, and a rising cost of living. Both major political parties will likely focus on presenting economic recovery plans that address these pressing issues. The candidates will be judged on their ability to reduce unemployment, ensure sustainable growth, and bring about economic stability.
2. Corruption and Governance: Ghana has made notable strides in curbing corruption, but it remains a key concern for many voters. Allegations of corruption under both the current and past administrations have fueled public discontent. Voters will likely scrutinize the candidates’ records on governance, transparency, and accountability. The outcome of this election could heavily depend on how each party presents itself as the best custodian of clean governance.
3. Youth Employment: Ghana has a large and growing youth population, many of whom are grappling with unemployment and underemployment. Both the NPP and the NDC will need to convince young voters that they have concrete plans to address the skills gap and create opportunities in the job market. Given that youth issues are paramount, candidates who can win over young voters stand a better chance of success.
4. Health and Education: Both parties will highlight their achievements in the education and healthcare sectors, but the electorate will also be focused on how each candidate plans to improve access and quality in these areas. The free SHS policy by the NPP is likely to be a focal point in the education debate, while the NDC will highlight its plans for healthcare accessibility and affordable services.

The Role of Smaller Parties and Independent Candidates

While the NPP and NDC are the dominant forces in Ghana’s political landscape, smaller parties and independent candidates could also play a role in the election outcome. These parties may not have the same reach or resources as the major parties, but they can influence the direction of the race, especially in the first-round vote. In some cases, smaller parties have acted as kingmakers, with their supporters swinging to the larger party that aligns with their values.

Voter Turnout and Electoral Integrity

In Ghana, voter turnout is typically high, with citizens showing strong interest in the democratic process. However, electoral integrity will be a key factor to watch, with both the NPP and NDC seeking to ensure that the voting process is fair, transparent, and free of fraudulent practices. Ensuring a smooth and peaceful election will be crucial for the legitimacy of the winner and the stability of the country going forward.

Conclusion: Who Will Win the 2024 Presidential Election?

While it is too early to definitively predict the winner of Ghana’s 2024 presidential election, the contest is expected to be a tightly contested battle between Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia of the NPP and former President John Dramani Mahama of the NDC. Key issues such as the economy, governance, youth employment, and education will likely influence the decision of voters, who will seek the candidate they believe can deliver on these priorities.

As Ghana approaches this critical election, it is clear that the outcome will have profound implications for the country’s future. Regardless of who emerges victorious, the next president will have the responsibility to unite the nation, tackle pressing issues, and continue Ghana’s path of democratic and economic progress. Stay tuned for more updates on the 2024 presidential election, as the race continues to unfold.